Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 128.001601 148.884659 173.484714 204.977207 244.776390 2.941747e+02 3.613870e+02
2025-03-16 96.705980 120.873285 152.421294 197.867571 263.898640 3.602873e+02 5.200385e+02
2025-03-23 80.829637 106.256036 141.993618 198.298150 289.851737 4.437228e+02 7.517366e+02
2025-03-30 68.172834 92.748648 129.108208 190.215241 298.409742 5.020749e+02 9.832495e+02
2025-04-06 61.528579 86.402056 125.012172 194.082341 327.324540 6.103137e+02 1.420841e+03
2025-04-13 55.683293 80.178564 119.695541 194.127845 348.669501 7.148092e+02 1.984641e+03
2025-04-20 52.782702 78.057469 120.562221 205.326971 396.851176 9.152212e+02 3.246120e+03
2025-04-27 49.936751 75.558866 120.231954 213.977491 443.071558 1.150195e+03 5.410434e+03
2025-05-04 46.184585 71.019888 115.450480 212.213600 463.059866 1.322673e+03 8.079863e+03
2025-05-11 43.644356 68.272542 113.561992 216.266345 500.745153 1.604097e+03 1.410282e+04
2025-05-18 41.042641 65.113995 110.402546 216.677597 528.519413 1.884038e+03 2.484438e+04
2025-05-25 39.999048 64.665193 112.525388 230.245335 605.182727 2.543517e+03 7.573350e+04
2025-06-01 36.898707 60.684120 108.161194 230.216662 651.351746 3.268474e+03 3.835727e+05
2025-06-08 33.455287 55.759617 101.281100 222.522668 669.517512 3.947182e+03 6.614319e+06
2025-06-15 31.069987 52.604284 97.730805 223.181906 725.804880 5.352838e+03 NaN
2025-06-22 28.366184 48.489442 91.349813 213.737303 731.148354 6.325679e+03 NaN
2025-06-29 26.846892 46.585799 89.717232 218.280207 812.376932 9.448200e+03 NaN
2025-07-06 25.258870 44.351892 86.929851 218.335822 872.832864 1.352006e+04 NaN
2025-07-13 24.482313 43.724080 87.916282 231.497211 1034.436520 2.731983e+04 NaN
2025-07-20 23.615109 42.795657 87.989197 241.692707 1199.838571 6.056645e+04 NaN
2025-07-27 22.328521 40.812655 85.029897 239.611798 1271.224957 1.080143e+05 NaN
2025-08-03 21.421968 39.585034 83.884410 244.394578 1418.750518 3.087480e+05 NaN
2025-08-10 20.443952 38.101794 81.831596 244.880220 1532.721182 1.088765e+06 NaN